Present Status and Future Scope of Horticulture in Pakistan

In this paper I have tried to explain the present status and future scope of horticulture in Pakistan.

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The horticulture comprises of study of vegetable, fruits, flowers, medicinal and aromatic plants, plantation crops and spices. Out of which vegetables occupied first position in both area and production. The collective area and production of horticulture crops were 16.48 mha and 145.62 mt, respectively in 2002 which have considerably increased to 25.43 mha and 311.61 mt, respectively. The share of area by vegetables, fruits, plantation crops, spices and flowers, aromatic and medicinal plants were 40%, 26%, 15%, 15% and 4%, respectively in 2018. the share of production of vegetables, fruits, plantation crops, spices and flowers, aromatic and medicinal plants were 59%, 31%, 6%, 3% and 1%, respectively in 2018.Horticulture crops have more potential to generate revenue to the farmers as well as enhance the agriculture GDP to the national GDP. The compound annual growth rate of area covered by different horticulture crops were observed highest in flower, aromatic & medicinal plants and lowest in spices. The overall CAGR of area covered by horticulture crops were 2.70% during the mentioned period. The CAGR of production of different horticulture crops were reported highest in flower, aromatic & medicinal plants, and lowest in plantation. The CAGR of total production of horticulture crops were 4.86% during the mentioned period.

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Agriculture in India is the backbone of economy. A large segment of India's population is depend on agriculture and allied activities for their sustenance. India is leading country in production of a few agriculture commodities. It is largest producer of milk, cashew nuts, coconuts, tea, ginger, turmeric and black pepper. It also has also the largest livestock population. It is the second largest producer of wheat, rice, sugar, groundnut and inland fish. It is the third largest producer of tobacco. Uttar Pradesh is characterized by abundant natural resources such as diverse agro-climatic conditions, varied soil type and abundance of rainfall which has immense scope for growing the varieties of horticulture crops. The agriculture in the state is highly diversified due to comparative advantage of wide range of agro-climatic variability, the state produces many crops. Against this backdrop, the present paper purports to examine the emerging trends and patterns in growth and development of horticulture in Uttar Pradesh.

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Present study is to analyze the trends in the Indian horticultural sector; to study the instability of all horticulture crops in India and to examine the relationship between horticulture sector’s area, production and horticulture sector exports from and import to India. The major findings are - the coefficient of correlation is positive and significant among the all variables. However, there is a high and strong relationship (.961) between horticulture production and horticulture exports from India. In order to reduce the imports from abroad, to increase the area under the cultivation of horticulture crops and productivity through adopting modern technology is a pre-condition in Indian horticulture sector.

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In a nation like Pakistan, where the security of one's food supply is critical for those living in poverty, it is imperative to take on the issue of increasing food production. According to estimates, food production must increase by at least 40% until 2025 in order to meet the long-term demands of the 33% predicted increase in population. Pakistan's agriculture faces significant difficulties in meeting the nation's food needs as a result of the population's growth, the irregular climate, and low crop production. The management of crop production presents many challenges for Pakistani farmers, including the absence of soil testing on farms, the unavailability and poor quality of fertilizers, loss during harvest, a lack of warehouses, machinery, and equipment, and, above all, a deterioration in soil fertility. In Pakistan, only tractors and cultivators are used for agricultural mechanization. The country is experiencing major issues with the production gap as a result.

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The seed, fertilizer, irrigation package of green revolution transformed subsistence agriculture in Punjab to a commercial and market oriented activity. The force behind commercialization is so strong that it swept away not only the big landlords but also small and marginal farmers towards market oriented agriculture. The supporters of the new strategy considered the intensive approach as the only means of making a breakthrough in Punjab agriculture in the shortest possible time. The radical shift of agriculture has made Punjab agriculture to cross many boundaries to be in present scenario.

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Agriculture provides livelihood to majority of population and thus remains linchpin of Indian economy. Though agriculture sector’s contribution to national GDP has declined to 13.9% in 2011-12 due to relatively higher growth experienced in industries and services sectors, agriculture remains the principal source of livelihood for more than 58% of country’s population. Indian economy is growing and to sustain this growth agriculture sector has to perform well. How to produce more of agriculture produce with limited natural resources in sustainable manner for ensuring food and nutritional security and increasing income of farmers, are major challenges before the Nation.

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The paper examines the role of horticulture sector in Uttar Pradesh at disaggregate level from 2004-05 to 2015-16. The share of horticulture sector in gross cropped area has not only been gradually increasing but has witnessed an increase in productivity of fruits, vegetables and spices. The value of output of various types of horticultural crops grown at a regional level reveals mixed trends while the value of output of horticulture by its sub sectors has accelerated considerably with its rate being the highest in Bundelkhand as compared to the other regions. The results of regression revealed that the factors such as cold storage, agricultural markets, agricultural sector loan, expense on district level schemes, electrified villages, literacy level, net irrigated area have positive and significant impact while maximum temperature has negative but significant impact on per hectare value of output. Study concludes that shifting orientation from cereal dominance to horticultural and high value crops via the instrument of crop diversification could prove to be immensely useful in supplementing farmers' income. The development of agricultural and rural infrastructure besides value chain development and food processing in specialty agriculture can help the horticulture sector to flourish considerably in the long run.

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